Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 148.710635 170.040628 193.792764 222.281264 255.624832 293.537509 340.083130
2025-11-23 117.877497 145.220769 178.365980 221.801993 277.662521 347.676619 443.002495
2025-11-30 101.135355 131.271050 170.057924 224.232744 298.886717 399.526782 547.832575
2025-12-07 86.005114 116.180669 156.854434 216.565388 303.476989 427.711044 623.034221
2025-12-14 76.136834 106.431166 148.923156 214.071258 313.586623 463.479740 713.397973
2025-12-21 69.725131 100.523545 145.309574 216.759491 330.886486 511.418208 829.671567
2025-12-28 66.023534 97.994656 146.100812 225.818376 358.758891 579.343140 990.229017
2026-01-04 62.003887 94.444955 144.773922 231.086339 380.793881 640.379637 1149.425666
2026-01-11 57.053235 88.872386 139.563646 229.145089 390.000464 680.060946 1275.820191
2026-01-18 54.138619 86.240602 138.761381 234.432059 412.389699 746.469088 1466.449628
2026-01-25 50.507665 82.052481 134.885532 233.747297 423.530063 792.971204 1624.834081
2026-02-01 48.263075 79.980041 134.380822 239.011999 446.495487 865.893784 1854.685342
2026-02-08 45.042054 76.228238 131.087257 239.744581 462.875493 932.738563 2097.930689
2026-02-15 41.883456 72.328480 127.203922 239.036624 476.674442 997.707500 2356.696769
2026-02-22 39.515133 69.609818 125.175865 241.675811 497.868408 1083.024526 2690.293428
2026-03-01 36.082553 64.583435 118.234368 233.328589 493.592450 1108.326654 2870.889683
2026-03-08 33.658449 61.243243 114.219953 230.614124 501.627398 1164.830931 3155.474405
2026-03-15 32.071281 59.368438 112.906843 233.539842 523.294613 1259.807792 3583.045765
2026-03-22 31.298034 59.017103 114.627959 243.402090 563.388282 1411.477108 4238.925812
2026-03-29 30.180316 57.865125 114.556559 249.139364 594.128146 1544.547482 4881.805896
2026-04-05 28.468217 55.343566 111.325497 247.024993 604.130414 1620.840201 5353.734343
2026-04-12 27.538864 54.374805 111.358921 252.783943 636.242382 1769.963360 6153.488864
2026-04-19 26.172150 52.361524 108.888900 252.037964 650.275570 1866.852100 6789.073805